Tumbles Financial Complex
2k
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?80% chance
Manifold
Tumbles has lowest League profits this month in all of Bronze League?
82% chance. Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex! 💸
1k
Will Tumbles DOUBLE YOUR MANA?26% chance
1.1%
Pierre Poilievre is PM, Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
77%
Other PM, Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
20%
Pierre Poilievre is PM, Tumbles is NOT late to pay back a loan
1.6%
Other PM, Tumbles is NOT late to pay back a loan
6%
Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.
14%
Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.
7%
Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.
73%
Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.
88%
Tumbles will not pay any of it off before 2026
8%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, and will be late on a payment before 2026
18%
Manifold will "loan" at least Ṁ1,000,000 more to Tumbles before 2026
69%
Tumbles will lose it all before 2026 (profits between now and 12/31/2025 is < Ṁ-1,400,000)
0.3%
Yes, his net worth will be greater 👑
20%
No, his net poker losses will be greater 💀
80%
Tumbles will not successfully pay off all of his loans (on time) 🪦
0.3%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
0.2%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late
20%
Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
80%
Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late
Adjacent Markets
570
295
6%
Tumbles will be the first to space
25%
Mira will be the first to space
5%
Strutheo will be the first to space
64%
No one goes to space
Yes
No
Not sure
Banks and Other Mana Services
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