H5N1

💎
Premium
Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?90% chance
💎
Premium
How many H5N1 human cases will there be in the USA by end of 2025, according to CDC?
6%
Under 101 cases
57%
101 - 1000 cases
18%
1001 - 10,000 cases
6%
10,001 - 100,000 cases
See 3 more answers
âž•
Plus
First confirmed human-to-human H5N1 transmission by May 1st 202526% chance
âž•
Plus
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?35% chance
âž•
Plus
Will there be more than 1,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 bird flu in the US by the end of 2025?37% chance
âž•
Plus
Will there be 10k or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?14% chance
âž•
Plus
Raw milk sales banned in additional US states due to H5N1 before February 1, 202534% chance
Basic
Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025?88% chance
âž•
Plus
What will be the CDC’s official mortality rate of H5N1 on January 1st, 2026?
4%
>30%
12%
15-30%
20%
5-15%
69%
<5%
See 1 more answer
Basic
Will the US approve an H5N1 vaccine for any group of people before a pandemic starts?26% chance
Basic
IF RFK is HHS Secretary and H5N1 transmits human-to-human in the US, will he try to curtail vaccine production?37% chance
💎
Premium
Will an H5N1 mRNA vaccine be developed and enter "late stage" human trials (or wider release) by July 2025?61% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules