Deepseek

Ṁ10k
Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?NO
Ṁ1k
Will r1 or v3 cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?2% chance
Ṁ1.1k
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?YES
Ṁ100
Will DeepSeek remain available on US iOS App Store until January 1, 2026? (no ban or removal)YES
Ṁ1.5k
R2 (DeepSeek) release date [includes V4-thinking]
5%
Before February 2026
77%
Before March 2026
86%
Before April 2026
Resolved
NO
Before February 2025
See 11 more answers
Ṁ1.5k
Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?7% chance
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