Deepseek

10k
Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?10% chance
1k
Will r1 or v3 cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?3% chance
1.1k
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?YES
100
Will DeepSeek remain available on US iOS App Store until January 1, 2026? (no ban or removal)78% chance
1.1k
When will DeepSeek release R2?
1%
Before July 2025
20%
Before August 2025
45%
Before September 2025
69%
Before October 2025
See 7 more answers
1.5k
Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?7% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy