Deepseek

10k
Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?20% chance
1k
Will r1 or v3 cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?5% chance
1.1k
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?98% chance
100
Will DeepSeek remain available on US iOS App Store until January 1, 2026? (no ban or removal)78% chance
1.1k
When will DeepSeek release R2?
0.6%
Before February 2025
12%
Before March 2025
64%
Before April 2025
77%
Before May 2025
See 7 more answers
1.5k
Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?12% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules