TikTok Ban

100k

What will be the status of TikTok in the US on April 1st 2025?

98.8%

Usable by the public and owned by ByteDance

0.7%

Usable by the public and not owned by ByteDance

0.3%

Completely banned in the US

0.2%

Restricted in the US and owned by ByteDance

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5k

TikTok Ban Endgame: Which will happen first?

44%

None of these will happen by EOY 2028

40%

TikTok will be sold to a non-Chinese company

10%

TikTok will become unavailable in Apple/Google app stores in the US for at least 30 days

3%

The TikTok "ban" will be rendered unenforceable by courts (with little chance of appeal/overturn)

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House approves sell-or-be-banned TikTok measure, attaching it to foreign aid bill

The bill, now advancing to the Senate, represents the most serious threat yet to the video app used by half of Americans.

11k

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?NO

3.2k

If the TikTok ban takes effect, will ByteDance divest it OR shut it down in the U.S?

House passes a bill that could lead to a TikTok ban if Chinese owner refuses to sell

The bill would require the Chinese firm ByteDance to divest TikTok and other applications it owns within six months of the bill’s enactment.

7.7k

Which company will buy TikTok? (resolves only if/when divested from China)

35%

Other

14%

Oracle

12%

Microsoft

7%

Amazon

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Would the world be a better place without TikTok?POLL

Yes

No

1k

At EOY 2025, will ByteDance own the American version of TikTok?49% chance

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