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AI Math
Manifold AI
Austin
Ṁ100k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
YES
3080
Ṁ100k
Bolton Bailey
Ṁ1.8k
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
YES
370
Ṁ1.8k
Sketchy
Ṁ1k
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
YES
73
Ṁ1k
Jack
Ṁ1k
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
NO
186
Ṁ1k
Jack
Ṁ11k
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
YES
498
Ṁ11k
Forrest
Ṁ1.2k
Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
29%
chance
247
Ṁ1.2k
Sketchy
Ṁ170
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
YES
29
Ṁ170
Ihor Kendiukhov
Ṁ13k
When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
2,027
Lower
Higher
69
Ṁ13k
Bolton Bailey
Ṁ1k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
NO
64
Ṁ1k
Bolton Bailey
Ṁ1k
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
YES
40
Ṁ1k
Bolton Bailey
Ṁ1k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
YES
62
Ṁ1k
Gigacasting
Ṁ1.8k
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
YES
165
Ṁ1.8k
Bolton Bailey
Ṁ1k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
YES
52
Ṁ1k
Gigacasting
Ṁ1.3k
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
YES
98
Ṁ1.3k
Gigacasting
Ṁ1k
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
YES
71
Ṁ1k
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