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Manifold AI
Google DeepMind
AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems
Breakthrough models AlphaProof and AlphaGeometry 2 solve advanced reasoning problems in mathematics
Austin
100k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2787
Ṁ100k
Bolton Bailey
1.8k
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
90%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
354
Ṁ1810
Sketchy
1k
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
91%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
66
Ṁ1000
Jack
1k
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
28%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
107
Ṁ1000
Jack
1k
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
79%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
58
Ṁ1000
Forrest
1.2k
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
78%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
201
Ṁ1230
Sketchy
170
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
22
Ṁ170
Ihor Kendiukhov
13k
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
2,027
Lower
Higher
61
Ṁ13k
Bolton Bailey
1k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
NO
64
Ṁ1000
Bolton Bailey
1k
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
26
Ṁ1000
Bolton Bailey
1k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
90%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
60
Ṁ1000
Gigacasting
1.8k
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
148
Ṁ1750
Bolton Bailey
1k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
88%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
45
Ṁ1000
Gigacasting
1.3k
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
91%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
96
Ṁ1265
Gigacasting
1k
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
91%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
70
Ṁ1000
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