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Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2024?61% chance
4%
chris/strutheo: "manifold is the 2b2t of prediction markets" https://twitter.com/Vestboy_Myst/status/1815091738866069532
71%
Roko: the idea that some humans will "merge with AI" is nonsense https://x.com/RokoMijic/status/1816537758149804492
98.2%
Ken Klippenstein: one advantage of Kamala Harris https://x.com/kenklippenstein/status/1815878624740024808