AI 2025

What will happen in AI in 2025?

100k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?69% chance
10k
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
19%
0% - 35%
8%
35 - 40%
8%
40 - 45%
10%
45 - 50%
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15k
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?
1%
0-10%
4%
10-20%
15%
20-30%
22%
30-40%
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1k
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
2%
<2750 (OpenAI's o3 at 2727)
4%
2750-3000
5%
3000-3250
5%
3250-3500
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