AI 2025

What will happen in AI in 2025?

100k

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?YES

10k

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

0.9%

0% - 35%

58%

35 - 40%

14%

40 - 45%

12%

45 - 50%

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15k

What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?

0.4%

0-10%

0.7%

10-20%

0.9%

20-30%

57%

30-40%

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1k

Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025

11%

<2750 (OpenAI's o3 at 2727)

7%

2750-3000

30%

3000-3250

9%

3250-3500

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