This market will resolve to "Yes", if, by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM CT, the Ethereum blockchain has effectively migrated to a Proof of Stake consensus algorithm

#Crypto #Blockchain

Economics

Will resolve when a Starship enters orbit or by the end of the year.

Apr 30, 9:36pm: For clarification a complete orbit is necessary. So the 3/4 orbital Starship orbital test flight as planned would not count.

Space

Musk Mania

Science

Resolves YES if an offer to take Twitter private led by Elon Musk succeeds before the end of 2022. (It is not necessary that Musk provide a majority of the capital.)

Internet

Technology

Jordan Jurcyk

CompmanJX3

howtodowtle

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NBA_Finals

Close date updated to 2022-06-16 11:59 pm

Sports

Resolves YES if Trump is charged with a felony by the grand jury.

Will Trump be charged by the grand jury in Georgia for his attempts to overturn election in Georgia?

 → Will Trump be charged by the DA in Fulton County Georgia for his attempts to overturn election in Georgia?

Law & Order

US Politics

MAGA-land

Politics

Russia already occupies the Crimea; will Russia control another 46% (or greater) of the Ukraine by the end of the year?

Apr 2, 10:50am: I believe that if a new Ukrainian government comes to power and is sympathetic to Russia, this will probably resolve NO, but if, for example, the puppet government relies primarily on continued Russian military presence, it could still resolve YES.

Apr 2, 10:58am: If a territory is an active battleground on Ukrainian (or recently Ukrainian) soil, I would say it is not effectively controlled by Russia.

Global Macro

Jonathan Nankivell

Nurses, doctors, first responders, essential workers 

Duncan

Conflux

George Vii

Gigacasting

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian People 

Market closes when Time announces their selection.

Jun 15, 12:40am: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year

Culture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM CT, either the House of Representatives or the Senate of the United States of America convenes at least one public hearing in which one or more Representatives or Senators utters the word "Roblox."
#Roblox
#Gaming
#USCongress
#Politics
#USA

Resolved to YES if on 2025-01-01:
- 10 cities with more than 300,000 inhabitants
- Have a taxi service of fully self-driving cars (no test, backup or remote human driver - passengers are the only humans in the car and they control where the car is going by specifying a destination).
- The service is generally available (anyone can register for the service and order rides with no restrictions other than the obvious ones that would be placed on similar human-operated services like Uber and Lyft - for example: need a smartphone, credit card), subject to availability (supply constraints are OK).
- It is reasonable to assume that the service is not considered a restricted experiment by the operating company or local authorities (based on publicly available media and reports).

Mar 4, 8:27pm: John Carmack is betting quite a lot of real money on a very similar proposition, but 5 years later: https://twitter.com/ID_AA_Carmack/status/1499803694522589187  |  https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/

This question resolves to YES if Max, a high school senior, goes to his grad formal with a girl as his date, and NO otherwise. Max recently ended things with his girlfiend, and is not sure whether or not he will take someone to prom as of June 6, 2022. The prom in question will take place on June 17th, 2022.

Jun 7, 12:08am: He says if it comes down to it, then he'll probably go with this mutual friend of ours, bet accordingly

Jun 7, 7:08pm: Deadline for buying prom tickets is tonight, but Max already had two tickets from weeks ago! (awkward). All of his male friends now have dates, its go alone or find a date now!

Jun 9, 5:17pm: Still no confirmed date, 8 days to go.

Jun 14, 5:55pm: 3 days left, max still has 2 tickets, but not sure if things are looking good…

Jun 17, 5:04pm: at the pre party and no date… doesn’t look good

Jun 20, 12:47pm: He met a girl at the after party, but he did not go to prom with a girl, sad

Predict anything!