Resolves YES if Joe Biden's average approval rating is at or above 40% on the day of January 31st 2022 according to Real Clear Politics: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html

Resolves YES if the price of one bitcoin falls below 30,000 USD at any time before February 1, 2022 according to https://coinmarketcap.com/

#crypto #bitcoin

Resolves positive Argentina and the IMF sign a deal before 1 June 2022 and Argentina does not default on its debt with the IMF till then.

Resolves YES if at least 20 users have created a fold before the end of February 10th, 2022.

Resolves YES if @NiclasKupper's market "Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?" ( https://manifold.markets/NiclasKupper/will-russia-invade-ukrainian-territ ) is at or above 70% at 11:59 pm CT on February 9th, 2022. #Russia #RussiaUkraine #derivatives

Should a sandwich appear I will use my best judgment to estimate the number of calories. He doesn’t have to eat the whole thing on stream so long as he eats part of it on stream and we have good reason to believe he went on to finish it.

#gaming
#twitch

A confirmed test or attack with a nuclear warhead by any country other than China, France, Russia, United Kingdom, United States, India, North Korea, Pakistan, and yes, Israel will cause this to resolve 'yes'. 

#technology #war #military #ExistentialRisk #Xrisk #nuclear #notfun

https://manifold.markets/DrP/will-donald-trump-by-the-president seems like it has a high chance of being cited as a motivation for adding reputation system for market makers.  Will Dr. P surprise me and resolve accurately?

Also resolves NO if the question remains unresolved on Mar. 7, 2022.

#meta #hedge

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM CT, Axie Infinity's Smooth Love Potion ($SLP) token trades for less than $0.01 USD. For the avoidance of doubt, the price in USD must be less than $0.01 USD at the time of closing, not temporarily dipping below that price before then and then recovering.

For adjudicating the price in USD, we will accept agreement of two out of three of the following sites: Coin Market Cap, Coinbase, Coingecko, specifically these three URL's:

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/smooth-love-potion/
https://www.coinbase.com/price/smooth-love-potion
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/smooth-love-potion

Which is to say, if any two of these sites agree that the price is below $0.01 USD at the time of closing, the market resolves to "Yes."
Dec 29, 1:10pm: "not temporarily dipping below that price before then and then recovering." --> "not *simply* temporarily dipping below that price". It's okay if it dips below and recovers so long as it also goes on to be below the price at closing. The point is that it has to be below the given price AT the time of closing.
#Blockchain
#Gaming
#AxieInfinity
#Economics

#Crypto

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