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Create a play-money prediction market on any topic you care about. Trade with your friends to forecast the future.
Trending markets

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by the end of 2023?

24%
chance
M$2,697 bet
World

Will Hans Niemann be officially found to be cheating in a chess game in 2022?

41%
chance
M$6,510 bet
Chess

Will Russia declare general mobilization before January 1, 2023?

40%
chance
M$4,374 bet
Global Macro

Will we fund "Brain-inspired AGI"?

22%
chance

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

18%
chance

Will Xi Jinping be President of China on Jan 1 2023

95%
chance
M$3,905 bet
China

Which country is primarily responsible for the Nordstream attack? (IF there is a consensus at close)

Russia
58%
chance
FeaturedWorld

Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat in 2022?

4%
chance
M$34,673 bet
Wars

Will we fund "Socio-political impacts of nuclear winter"?

30%
chance

Will we fund "Calculate Resource Use & Production in Extinction Shelters"?

53%
chance