MANIFOLD
🔥 Trending Topics
64%
Donald Trump
·
11mo
18%
Joe Biden
·
11mo
10%
Kamala Harris
·
11mo
1.7%
Michelle Obama
·
5mo
P Prize Market
P Prize Market
61%
Spain beats England ⚽ July 14 (3pm) Final
·
6d
Resolved
YES
Germany beats Scotland ⚽ June 14 (3pm)
·
4mo
Resolved
NO
Hungary beats Switzerland ⚽ June 15 (9am)
·
4mo
Resolved
YES
Spain beats Croatia ⚽ June 15 (12pm)
·
4mo
92%
Kamala Harris
·
10d
50%
Joe Biden
·
10d
7%
Josh Shapiro
·
7d
7%
Roy Cooper
·
10d
0.2%
He'll perform very well, comparable to his best appearances in the past ~decade
·
2d
85%
He'll perform somewhat well, better than his ABC interview
·
2d
13%
He'll perform somewhat poorly, but still better than the debate
·
2d
1.1%
He'll perform very poorly, at or below recent debate performance
·
2d
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Scott Alexander
Astral Codex Ten