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Martin Randall
asked
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
20%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
Existential Risk
AI
AI risk
325
9
Hayden Jackson
asked
Will there be at least 1 million people (globally) that live physically underground by 2040?
82%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
44
6
Rai
asked
Will Google Search include a chatbot at end of June 2023?
10%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
Technology
2046
51
AVS
asked
Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?
55%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
Metaculus
Space
34
Tripping
asked
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
38%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
AI risk
AI Alignment
AI Safety
204
6
connorcash
asked
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2023?
24%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
Economics
US Politics
Politics
201
5
Teddy Weverka
asked
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?
15%
Bet
YES
Bet
NO
AI risk
AI Alignment
AI Safety
43
1
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Ṁ500
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I and many of my friends visit their site daily or at least weekly, and I often link them on Mantic Mondays.
Scott Alexander
Astral Codex Ten
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