MANIFOLD
🔥 Trending Topics
62%
Donald Trump
·
11mo
15%
Joe Biden
·
11mo
14%
Kamala Harris
·
11mo
2%
Other
·
11mo
P Prize Market
P Prize Market
63%
Spain
·
7mo
39%
England
·
7mo
Resolved
NO
Germany
·
7mo
Resolved
NO
Portugal
·
7mo
0.4%
He'll perform very well, comparable to his best appearances in the past ~decade
·
2d
73%
He'll perform somewhat well, better than his ABC interview
·
2d
25%
He'll perform somewhat poorly, but still better than the debate
·
2d
1.7%
He'll perform very poorly, at or below recent debate performance
·
2d
84%
Kamala Harris
·
10d
43%
Joe Biden
·
10d
8%
Gretchen Whitmer
·
10d
8%
Andy Beshear
·
9d
49%
Biden never drops out
·
12d
6%
July 15
·
12d
6%
July 21
·
12d
6%
Other
·
12d
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Scott Alexander
Astral Codex Ten