Trump

Ṁ1k

Will all living presidents attend Trump’s inauguration?

YES

Ṁ10k

Will Donald Trump NOT be inaugurated?

NO

Ṁ9.9k

What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?

Resolved

YES

Pardon at least 1 J6 participant

Resolved

YES

End birthright citizenship for children of illegal immigrants through executive action

Resolved

YES

Declare a national emergency

Resolved

YES

Post on Twitter/X

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Ṁ10k

Trump impose large tariffs in first year?

YES

Ṁ10k

Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

YES

Ṁ26k

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

6%

Trump accurately quotes a Bible verse with its Book Chapter:Verse citation, verbally and without reading from a script/notes/autocue, excluding Genesis 1:1

10%

Trump gives the middle finger hand gesture with both hands at once

27%

Trump suggests that there should be a crusade (including jokes)

19%

NATO invokes Article 5

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Ṁ1.3k

What will Trump's first executive order be about?

32%0.9%

Government/Regulations/Elections

21%43%Other

13%0.3%

Climate Change/The Environment/Energy

13%0.2%

Healthcare/ACA

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Ṁ1.5k

Will Donald Trump repay Elon Musk's backing in good faith?

YES

Ṁ7k

Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?

YES

Ṁ7k

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

20% chance

Ṁ6.7k

If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

YES

Ṁ10k

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

66% chance

Ṁ21k

When will Trump serve time?

91%

Never

0%

2023 (NO)

0.1%

2024 (NO)

0.4%

2025 (NO)

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