Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
18%
chance
[image]Ladies and gentleman, I’m afraid it’s looking pretty joever. My balance is -731k. Once the loan markets resolve, counting my outstanding loans, I’ll be almost three million mana in the red. It’s been an honour meming with you all. To my investors/creditors, I’m sorry it ends this way. This was always going to end in either glory or disaster, and unfortunately it came to disaster. I’ll make a mini final report once the dust settles and markets finish resolving.
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I hope you're happy America
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@Tumbles I think I might actually make it 😆
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Resolves YES if @Tumbles is even slightly late to pay back any mana loan that they intentionally accepted. Any extensions must have been agreed upon in advance.

@Tumbles may choose to resolve this market NO if they don't owe any mana to other users. Once they do so, they will be prohibited from taking on any new loans for three months.

I will use this description as a ledger of what I owe and when I owe it. I will update it as appropriate. All amounts listed include any fees or interest associated with the loan. Dates listed are the final day during which payment is not late (PST -8:00).

Jan 31st 2025 - Ṁ51,000 @sophiawisdom

Jan 31st 2025 - Ṁ31,000 @CharlesLien
Jan 31st 2025 - Ṁ52,000 @Bayesian
August 31st 2025 - Ṁ39,000 @EBurk
Jan 7th 2026 - Ṁ269,000 @AmmonLam

Total: Ṁ442,000

Total loans previously paid off on time before Biden dropped out: 711,679 (short term loans not included)

Loans paid off or cleared since Biden dropped out: Ṁ741,000

Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex! 💸

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Ṁ1,000
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boughtṀ1,000YES

Yesterday I lost almost 100k mana, Donald Trump was inaugurated and immediately began acting as expected, my streamer man got credibly accused of sex crimes, and my bamboo shrimp died.

WHAT A FUCKED UP DAY

(Photos are off the shrimp's widow, he was at least twice as big)

@Tumbles :( hang in there

@Tumbles R.I.P. =(

(referring to the bamboo shrimp fellow, not your balance)

I'm starting to think I might not be very good at this 🤔

@Tumbles so sad I didn't see this market, I would've made so much profit

@Tumbles you just got a 30.5k payment from @houstonEuler (account deleted), was it a new loan or...?

@deagol I dont think it's a loan if you can't pay it back...

@deagol It was a gift from Houston on his way out of the site, very nice of them. They didn't indicate any big reason in particular to me why they left, but that they had been planning to for a while and their last question resolved.

?!?

Biden had one last nuke for me....

@Tumbles This man has disappointed you over and over again, why do you keep going back to him? 🤪

Shout out to @Simon74fe being top profit even though the market is at 7% and they hold 92k YES shares

No deadline extension on TikTok, and no pardons for Fauci, almost 40k on each NO WAMMIES

@Tumbles You are a wild man! 😍

I put my new years balance and recent loans in

@Tumbles The legend lives on!

@Tumbles might wanna extend til then?

I got repaid! Thanks Tumbles!

@Tumbles Don't do it.

@Eliza Can I really let this market resolve? What if there is a new ball of mana out there somewhere?

@Tumbles Surely we are all better off if we get this market to resolve No, and you unlock the ~100,000 mana that you have tied up in it? How many other markets will you profit on if this one resolves No?

@Eliza But 300k would be even bigger than 100k!

@Tumbles Just don't take any new loans.

@Eliza It's almost Christmas.

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