Sama Drama

96%

Sam Altman (Current CEO)

Other

0.3%

Mira Murati (Current CTO, Former Interim CEO)

0.3%

Greg Brockman (Current President)

Will Scarlett Johansson sue OpenAI and/or Sam Altman personally in 2024?25% chance

Lawyers say OpenAI could be in real trouble with Scarlett Johansson

OpenAI might find itself in legal trouble if Scarlett Johansson decides to use California’s right to publicity rules to protect her voice and identity against ChatGPT.

Will proof emerge that OpenAI's "Sky" voice was trained on Scarlett Johansson's voice?3% chance

#OpenAI

#AI

#Culture

Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?15% chance

Leaked OpenAI documents reveal aggressive tactics toward former employees

Has Sam Altman told the truth about OpenAI’s NDA scandal?

Will Sam Altman be fired or resign as OpenAI CEO before July 2024?1% chance

#OpenAI

#OpenAI Crisis

#Sam Altman

Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?89% chance

OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever is officially leaving

Ilya Sutskever, the OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist who reportedly led the infamous failed coup against Sam Altman, is unsurprisingly leaving the company.

What will be true of Ilya Sutskever's 'next project'? (add answers)

47%

They will publicly show some novel results in 2024

87%

More people think it will be net-positive for the world than net-negative, based on a Manifold poll in December

90%

Someone in an Executive or Director role at a FAANG or MAMAA company resigns to join the project within 1 month of the announcement

62%

It's related to the medical or scientific research industry