What will be true of Manifold's "loan" to Tumbles?
Plus
11
Ṁ24362026
46%
Tumbles will not pay any of it off before 2026
32%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, and will be late on a payment before 2026
7%
Manifold will "loan" at least Ṁ1,000,000 more to Tumbles before 2026
12%
Tumbles will lose it all before 2026 (profits between now and 12/31/2025 is < Ṁ-1,400,000)
33%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, with payments due before 2026, and will not be late on any payment before 2026
29%
Tumbles will quit Manifold before repaying the loan
50%
Tumbles will "pay" it back but not with Mana...
13%
It will be wiped/solved/paid by @Mira
@Manifold recently "loaned" Ṁ1,400,000 to @Tumbles :
My primary information source for resolutions will be Manifold tools (i.e. looking at profit/portfolio value graphs) when possible, but I expect to rely on statements from Manifold and Tumbles for some resolutions, and I expect to largely take these statements at face value. For this market, "before 2026" is equivalent to "by the end of 2025" (and this is also true for other years in the obvious way). I may extend the market if options resolving after 2025 are added.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Particularly relevant market: /nikki/will-tumbles-succeed-in-restructuri
Fun prop market I never saw before now! Adding it to the recently cleaned up Tumbles Financial Complex dashboard
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