MANIFOLD
Browse
News
About
App
Add funds
(Sale 64% off)
Sign up
Get
1,000
and
3.00
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
OpenAI
Israel
What Will Trump Do?
Oscars 2025
Korea
House Speaker
TikTok Ban
Cabinet
Mystery Drones
CEO Shooter
Sora
Bitcoin
2028 Election
AGI Timelines
Biden
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Nvidia
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts 2024
AI 2025
2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
27%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
24%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
#
🇺🇸 US Politics
#
️ Politics
134
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
24%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 34 more answers
486
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
23%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 57 more answers
414
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
16%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
16%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
16%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 76 more answers
1128
Ṁ29k
112
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
50%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
15%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Elon Musk
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
418
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
36%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
16%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
12%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
73
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
50%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
27%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Nikki Haley
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
219
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Plus
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
19%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
50
Ṁ1000
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
53%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2175
Ṁ5540
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
+
Mana-only Terms
•
Privacy
•
Rules
Browse
Explore
News
About
Sign in