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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
24%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
21%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
97
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
33%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
24%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 28 more answers
392
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
29%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
22%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 56 more answers
383
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
22%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
15%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 74 more answers
912
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
50%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
21%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
350
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
29%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
17%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
15%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
62
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
49%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
30%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Donald Trump Sr.
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
203
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Plus
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
19%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
50
Ṁ1000
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
46%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2079
Ṁ5540
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