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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Ṁ22k
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
31%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
24%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
14%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
162
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Ṁ160k
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
23%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
20%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
17%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
Open options
See 38 more answers
769
Ṁ160k
Dylan Slagh
Ṁ20k
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
23%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
20%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
19%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
Open options
See 57 more answers
470
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Ṁ29k
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
28%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
15%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Mark Kelly
Yes
No
Open options
See 77 more answers
1756
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Ṁ20k
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
54%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
12%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
716
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Ṁ23k
2028 Democratic nominee?
40%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
28%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 9 more answers
214
Ṁ23k
PREDYX
Ṁ46k
2028 Republican nominee?
54%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
12%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
See 12 more answers
398
Ṁ46k
skibidist
Ṁ273
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
16%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
54
Ṁ273
Scott Alexander
Ṁ5.5k
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
77%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2553
Ṁ5.5k
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