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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
33%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
20%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
107
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
23%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
12%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
444
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
26%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
21%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 57 more answers
395
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
26%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
Yes
No
Open options
See 76 more answers
1000
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
48%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
19%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
363
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
35%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
66
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
45%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
28%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
203
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Plus
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
19%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
50
Ṁ1000
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
49%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2087
Ṁ5540
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