Gaza

4.2k
Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2023?NO
1.5k
[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?NO
2.7k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu (Bibi) be the prime minister of Israel at the end of 2024YES
1.3k
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?90%
2.3k
Will Bibi Netanyahu be the Prime Minister of Israel at the end of 2023?YES
1.4k
Will Netanyahu government hold until end of 2023YES
3.1k
[Metaculus] Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?NO
2.6k
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel establish diplomatic relations before 2025?NO
4.5k
After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
30%
Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised
28%
Israel
15%
Hamas
9%
Other
See 15 more answers
Is this the start of the Third Intifada?POLL
Yes
No
4.8k
Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2023?NO
2k
Will Netanyahu remain Israel's PM until the end of 2024?YES
What should be the priority: saving hostages or eliminating Hamas?POLL
Hostages
Hamas
Should Bibi Netanyahu be charged by the International Criminal Court for actions he has taken since 10/7?POLL
Yes
No
4.1k
Will Hezbollah directly engage in combat operations against Israel?YES
3.6k
Will any other nations join the Hamas-Israel war on the side of Hamas by 2024?NO
12k
Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
100%82%
32,001 - 64,000
0.1%
<= 4,000
0.1%
4,001 - 8,000
0.3%
8,001 - 16,000
See 4 more answers
6.5k
Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side
0%
0-500
0.1%
500-1000
1.2%
1000-1500
85%
1500-2500
See 3 more answers
4.3k
Will there be a military conflict between Israel and Iran during 2023?YES
3.6k
Will Israel seize and occupy any new previously unoccupied territory by the end of 2023?YES
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