Columbia ProtestsOpenAI - GPT2Legal WeedNBA PlayoffsIsrael-Arab ConflictHouse SpeakerTrump TrialTrump VPBiden-Trump PollsPresidential DebatesTwitterManifold SweepstakesTikTok BanTaylor SwiftJason StonksKey RacesFSK BridgeOne PieceMusic AI RaceChessManifestTV PropsWWDC 2024ACX 2024 Hard Forkasts

Gaza

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2023?NO
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#Israel
#Israeli Politics
[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?24% chance
#Metaculus
#Israel-Hamas Conflict
Will Benjamin Netanyahu (Bibi) be the prime minister of Israel at the end of 202463% chance
#Israeli Government
#Israeli Politics
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?50% chance
#Israel
#World
#Middle East
Will Bibi Netanyahu be the Prime Minister of Israel at the end of 2023?YES
#Israeli Politics
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
#Israeli Domestic Politics
Will Netanyahu government hold until end of 2023YES
#Politics
#Israel
#Israeli Politics
[Metaculus] Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?NO
#Metaculus
#Israel
#Palestine
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel establish diplomatic relations before 2025?24% chance
#Politics
#Geopolitics
#Israel
After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
62%
Israel
19%
Hamas
6%
International Peacekeeping Force
6%
PLO
See 11 more answers
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
#Israel
Is this the start of the Third Intifada?POLL
Yes
No
#Israel
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Captured Hamas plans suggest that Hamas has not heavily committed to defending parts of the northern outskirts of Gaza City, which may indicate that Hamas units in parts of that area are screening for a main defensive effort in central Gaza City. The IDF
Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2023?NO
#Israel
#Lebanon
#Israeli Politics
Will Netanyahu remain Israel's PM until the end of 2024?65% chance
#World
#Israeli Politics
#Asia
What should be the priority: saving hostages or eliminating Hamas?POLL
Hostages
Hamas
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
Should Bibi Netanyahu be charged by the International Criminal Court for actions he has taken since 10/7?POLL
Yes
No
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
Will Hezbollah directly engage in combat operations against Israel?53% chance
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#Israel
#Wars
Will any other nations join the Hamas-Israel war on the side of Hamas by 2024?NO
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
0.1%
<= 4,000
0.2%
4,001 - 8,000
1.7%
8,001 - 16,000
3%
16,001 - 32,000
See 4 more answers
#Israel-Hamas Conflict
#Israel
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side
0.1%
0-500
0.1%
500-1000
2%
1000-1500
69%
1500-2500
See 3 more answers
#Death
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
Will there be a military conflict between Israel and Iran during 2023?YES
#Iran
#Israel
#Middle East
Will Israel seize and occupy any new previously unoccupied territory by the end of 2023?YES
#Israel
#Israel-Hamas Conflict 2023
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
See more questions: