Following the recent conflict with Hamas, many Israelies question Bibi's leadership and might not elect him again.
That might lead to earlier elections and he might not be elected again, or even resign
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90 days from today is December 1. You cannot have an election before 90 days. Even if there is an election on December 1, that does not give enough time for the new government to be formed before by the end of the year. Election results have to come in, the President has to tap someone, and then they get 4 weeks and a 2 week extension.
Interesting in that this is one of the few political factions that's been able to exert real pressure on bibi's government
(That said I still very much doubt anything happens this year)
Gideon Sa'ar and his party just left Netanyahu's coalition. Will this lead to more instability?
“Saar's departure, along with another of his allies, is not expected to affect the stability of Netanyahu's government, which still controls a clear majority in parliament.”
https://apple.news/AC9ZIJf4bQBullDK_dq1wcg
Reuters. March 25, 2024 6:49 PM UTC
Israeli minister quits Netanyahu's unity government, saying he was sidelined
If not 2024, when will he leave office?
When will Benjamin Netanyahu be replaced as Prime Minister of Israel?
Yoav Gallant's surname is Gallant, meaning brave and heroic.
This is not a coincidence, because nothing is ever a coincidence.
He would basically have to agree to a new election for this to happen before 2026 (or >4 members of his coalition would). Hard to imagine it happening.
@ShakedKoplewitz You think UTJ/Shas and RZ will stay in the coalition? Do you think there will be public pressure to draft the Haredim? More brouhaha about the judicial reform. For an inquiry into October 7? Netanyahu is toast.
@ShakedKoplewitz Anyway, I can definitely see 4 members of Likud bailing on him. Gallant for starters will definitely bail. And a few others. Come on. How hard do you think it would be for Bennett to buy off 4 moderate guys in Likud and promise them seats 2 through 5 in his new party?
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