Brian T. Edwards
closes Jan 1, 2024
25%
chance
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1W
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Super Tax Genius
Need to define "military conflict". Obviously proxies don't count but does a preemptive strike by Israel at some target in Iran count, even if Iran does not respond except through terrorism?
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 41%
@SuperTaxGenius I actually have a question about that possibility. This question is about conflict between IDF and AJA. Not proxies like Mossad or Hezbollah.
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YES positions
Ṁ2,485
Ṁ119
Ṁ114
Ṁ108
Ṁ58
Ṁ35
Ṁ22
NO positions
Ṁ1,906
Ṁ433
Ṁ286
Ṁ103
Ṁ70
Ṁ40
Ṁ28
Ṁ18
Ṁ17
Ṁ16
Ṁ11
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