Will there be a military conflict between Israel and Iran during 2023?
25%
chance

Sort by:
BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 45%

I think this market is way under traded.

SuperTaxGenius avatar
Super Tax Genius

Need to define "military conflict". Obviously proxies don't count but does a preemptive strike by Israel at some target in Iran count, even if Iran does not respond except through terrorism?

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 41%

@SuperTaxGenius I actually have a question about that possibility. This question is about conflict between IDF and AJA. Not proxies like Mossad or Hezbollah.