👴 If Trump Wins...

These markets as how the world will be different depending on if Trump or Biden win the election. Place your bets on how each candidate's presidency would turn out!

Also, they're all getting some extra subsidy from Manifold Politics, so there's plenty of mana to be made. If you bet any amount on the markets you'll also be notified when more subsidy is added.

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If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?42% chance
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If Biden wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?N/A
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If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?84% chance
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If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?N/A
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If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?81% chance
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If Biden wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?N/A
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If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)84% chance
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If Biden wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern border)N/A
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If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?39% chance
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If Biden wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?N/A
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If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?64% chance
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If Biden wins, will the US enter a recession before 2027?N/A
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If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?72% chance
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If Biden is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?N/A
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Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?30% chance
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Carbon Brief Forecast: If Biden wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?N/A
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If Donald Trump wins the election, will he serve time in 2025?2% chance
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If Donald Trump loses the election, will he serve time in 2025?N/A
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If Trump becomes President, will he "Make America Great Again" by the midterms? [Gallup Polling > Obama]31% chance
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If Biden is re-elected, will he "Make America Great Again" by the midterms? [Gallup Polling > Obama]N/A
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