If Biden is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
51
228
Ṁ9kṀ6.8k
2026
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Joe Biden does not win the 2024 presidential election or there is a peace treaty signed concluding the Russia-Ukraine war before the election this market will resolve to N/A. If Joe Biden does win the 2024 presidential election:
This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war that consists of a 30 day period where the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's daily updates report that less than 100 Russian soldiers have been killed in combat.
This market will resolve to NO otherwise.
Note: if this market is featured on the Manifold Politics page the @ManifoldPolitics account may make edits, issue clarifications, and decide the resolution in ambiguous cases.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
More related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
33% chance
If Biden is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
40% chance
If Biden Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
74% chance
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
16% chance
If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
53% chance
Will Russia propose a ceasefire in 2024?
50% chance
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2026?
36% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
72% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
23% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
26% chance