If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
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6.7kṀ31kresolved Jan 22
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The main example would be Biden's AI executive order in 2023.
Democrats have generally seemed more concerned with regulating AI. At the same time, AI wasn't nearly as big of an issue while Trump was president.
The legislation would have to become law to count, not just introduced.
Harris market:
Update 2025-22-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarifications:
A repeal of Biden's AI executive order via a second executive order will be counted as fulfilling the market's condition.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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