If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
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resolved Jan 22
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YES

The main example would be Biden's AI executive order in 2023.

Democrats have generally seemed more concerned with regulating AI. At the same time, AI wasn't nearly as big of an issue while Trump was president.

The legislation would have to become law to count, not just introduced.

Harris market:

  • Update 2025-22-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarifications:

    • A repeal of Biden's AI executive order via a second executive order will be counted as fulfilling the market's condition.

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Do riders or bill amendments count?

@thepurplebull Probably not, it would need to be primarily focused on AI. I can run a poll if there's an edge case.

Would a repeal of Biden's executive order count?

@noaht2 That would have to be through a 2nd executive order right? If so, yeah I would count it.

bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 51%

(you can search for artificial intelligence in that page)

Possibly it doesn't count as "focused" on AI.

@Fay42 Yeah I can count that since I specifically said a repeal of Biden's order would count.

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