Tumbles Financial Complex

Check out the official Tumbles Financial Complex Shareholder's Report for April

During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?

1.8%

January

0.2%

February

March

April

See 9 more answers

Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?70% chance

Mini

When Tumbles pays his loans off, will his net worth be greater than his poker losses?

Yes, his net worth will be greater 👑

17%

No, his net poker losses will be greater 💀

79%

Tumbles will not successfully pay off all of his loans (on time) 🪦

Conditional on who wins the democratic nomination will tumbles ever be late to pay back a loan

Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late

0.9%

Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late

18%

Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late

79%

Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late

Depending on the POTUS election winner, will @Tumbles be late to pay back a loan (before EOY)?

37%

Donald Trump wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan

21%

Donald Trump wins the election, Tumbles is never late on a loan

Joe Biden wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan

Joe Biden wins the election, Tumbles is never late on a loan

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Mini

If @Tumbles is late to pay back a loan, will Canada enter a recession? (2024)

Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.

13%

Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.

28%

Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.

53%

Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.

Mini

So, uh. Will Tumbles owe 1,000,000 by Christmas?NO

How much debt will @Tumbles have at the end of 2024?

18%

Ṁ100,000

Ṁ200,000

43%

Ṁ300,000

Ṁ400,000

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Mini

Will any of these MYSTERIOUS SHADOW WHALES loan Tumbles 100k+?NO

@Tumbles Credit Score MarketYES

Mini

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex be declared insolvent, but make a comeback?39% chance

Tumbles Financial Complex Interest Rate Forecasting (2024-ish, medium term loans)

60%

APR (linear)

70%

>= 50%

46%

>= 60%

16%

>= 70%

See 1 more answer

Banks and Other Mana Services

Fion's Micro-Loans!Ṁ0 bounty

Ṁ0

Manual order book with interest and no fees!Ṁ0 bounty

Ṁ0

Limit Orders with other users free of fees [READ DESCRIPTION]Ṁ0 bounty

Ṁ0

Adjacent Markets

Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?79% chance

Mini

@Tumbles Meme Stock ($TMS)Ṁ363

Mini

Will Biden still be the presumed Democratic nominee on Saddam Hussein's birthday? (April 28th)YES

Mini

Will @Tumbles hit a daily streak of 365+ during 2024?10% chance

Can any Manifold user defeat Tumbles at Smash Bros Melee?29% chance

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