Tumbles Financial Complex

Check out the official Tumbles Financial Complex Shareholder's Report for April

Plus

During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?

25%

January

1.8%

February

1.3%

March

1.6%

April

See 9 more answers

Plus

Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?48% chance

Basic

When Tumbles pays his loans off, will his net worth be greater than his poker losses?

38%

Yes, his net worth will be greater 👑

43%

No, his net poker losses will be greater 💀

19%

Tumbles will not successfully pay off all of his loans (on time) 🪦

Plus

Conditional on who wins the democratic nomination will tumbles ever be late to pay back a loan

0.9%

Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late

0.3%

Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late

56%

Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late

43%

Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late

Plus

Depending on the POTUS election winner, will @Tumbles be late to pay back a loan (before EOY)?

Donald Trump wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan this year

91%

Donald Trump wins the election, Tumbles isn't late on a loan this year

Joe Biden wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan this year

0.7%

Joe Biden wins the election, Tumbles isn't late on a loan this year

See 2 more answers

Basic

If @Tumbles is late to pay back a loan, will Canada enter a recession? (2024)

Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.

29%

Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.

26%

Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.

37%

Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.

Basic

So, uh. Will Tumbles owe Ṁ1,000,000 by Christmas?NO

Plus

How much debt will @Tumbles have at the end of 2024?

Ṁ100,000

Ṁ200,000

1.9%

Ṁ300,000

Ṁ400,000

See 14 more answers

Basic

Will any of these MYSTERIOUS SHADOW WHALES loan Tumbles 100k+?NO

Plus

@Tumbles Credit Score MarketYES

Basic

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex be declared insolvent, but make a comeback?YES

Plus

Tumbles Financial Complex Interest Rate Forecasting (2024-ish, medium term loans)

60%

APR (linear)

70%

>= 50%

46%

>= 60%

16%

>= 70%

See 1 more answer

Banks and Other Mana Services

Fion's Micro-Loans!Ṁ0 bounty

Ṁ0

Manual order book with interest and no fees!Ṁ0 bounty

Ṁ0

Limit Orders with other users free of fees [READ DESCRIPTION]Ṁ0 bounty

Ṁ0

Adjacent Markets

Plus

Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?78% chance

Basic

@Tumbles Meme Stock ($TMS)Ṁ363

Basic

Will Biden still be the presumed Democratic nominee on Saddam Hussein's birthday? (April 28th)YES

Basic

Will @Tumbles hit a daily streak of 365+ during 2024?YES

Plus

️ Can any Manifold user defeat Tumbles at Smash Bros Melee? ️YES

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