Tumbles Financial Complex (RIP)

Statement regarding the current status of my account: https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba#i16krm26kwl

100%99.2%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan before 2027
0.0%
Favorable outcome from April 2025 Canadian election betting
0.1%
Favorable outcomes from future betting
0.0%
Still in a P2P loan debt spiral
Manifold
Tumbles has lowest League profits this month in all of Bronze League?
Resolved YES. Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex! 💸
100%99.9%
June
0.0%
January
0.0%
February
0.0%
March

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Fion's LoansṀ1,000 bounty
1k

More Tumbles Financial Complex

0.2%
Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.
0.2%
Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.
0.1%
Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.
99.5%
Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.
100%99.6%
June
0.0%
Tumbles is not late on a loan before 2026
0.0%
April
0.1%
May
98.2%
Tumbles will not pay any of it off before 2026
7%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, and will be late on a payment before 2026
1.9%
Manifold will "loan" at least Ṁ1,000,000 more to Tumbles before 2026
3%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, with payments due before 2026, and will not be late on any payment before 2026
100%99.0%
Other PM, Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
0.0%
Pierre Poilievre is PM, Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
0.0%
Pierre Poilievre is PM, Tumbles is NOT late to pay back a loan
1.0%
Other PM, Tumbles is NOT late to pay back a loan
100%99.0%
Tumbles will not successfully pay off all of his loans (on time) 🪦
0.2%
Yes, his net worth will be greater 👑
0.8%
No, his net poker losses will be greater 💀
100%99.7%
Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late
0.2%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
0.1%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late
0.0%
Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late

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