Tumbles Financial Complex (RIP)

Statement regarding the current status of my account: https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba#i16krm26kwl

86%
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan before 2027
10%
Tumbles reaches agreements with the creditors of most of his loans to defer payment, pay with alternative forms of consideration, or otherwise keep them in good standing until 2027
1%
Extraordinary event at the hands of Manifold staff (e.g. something like the 1.4 million "loan")
1%
Tumbles is gifted massive amounts of mana by other users (not Manifold staff) that he doesn't have to pay back
Manifold
Tumbles has lowest League profits this month in all of Bronze League?
Resolved YES. Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex! 💸
0.4%
January
0.3%
February
0.3%
March
1%
April

Banks and Other Mana Services

🦝RISK Credit Report
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🦝RISK Recovery Insurance Service Kiosk
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Fion's LoansṀ1,000 bounty
1k

More Tumbles Financial Complex

8%
Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.
19%
Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.
8%
Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.
64%
Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.
16%
Tumbles is not late on a loan before 2026
0%
April
0.5%
May
33%
June
90%
Tumbles will not pay any of it off before 2026
7%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, and will be late on a payment before 2026
2%
Manifold will "loan" at least Ṁ1,000,000 more to Tumbles before 2026
2%
Tumbles will have to pay it off in some form, with payments due before 2026, and will not be late on any payment before 2026
0%
Pierre Poilievre is PM, Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
78%
Other PM, Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
0%
Pierre Poilievre is PM, Tumbles is NOT late to pay back a loan
22%
Other PM, Tumbles is NOT late to pay back a loan
0%
Yes, his net worth will be greater 👑
10%
No, his net poker losses will be greater 💀
90%
Tumbles will not successfully pay off all of his loans (on time) 🪦
0.1%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
0.1%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late
14%
Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
86%
Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late

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