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Altman Return?

Will there be another significant change at OpenAI by Thanksgiving? (Altman, board, etc.)YES
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI
#OpenAI Crisis
Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?14% chance
#OpenAI
#Sam Altman
#AI
Who will be the next permanent CEO of OpenAI?
100%99.0%
Sam Altman
0.1%
Mira Murati
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Adam D'angelo
See 50 more answers
#AI
#Technology
#OpenAI
Will Sam Altman return to being the CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2024?YES
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI
#Greg Brockman
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024?YES
#AI
#OpenAI
#OpenAI Crisis
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?93% chance
#AI
#Technology
#AI Culture War
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI?YES
#OpenAI
#AI Safety
#AI
What will Sam Altman be doing on February 1, 2024?
100%99.0%
Back at OpenAI
0.4%
A new AI company he started
0.0%
Working at Anthropic
0.0%
A new non-AI company he started
See 13 more answers
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI
#OpenAI Crisis
What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!)
97%
CEO of OpenAI
31%
A non-CEO position at OpenAI
13%
Court
7%
Leads non-capabilities AI org (that is: org not training internal frontier models)
See 9 more answers
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI Crisis
Who will still be working with OpenAI on January 31, 2024? [independent, YES/NO on each]
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman
Resolved
YES
Ilya Sutskever
Resolved
YES
Brad Lightcap
Resolved
YES
Adam D'Angelo
See 23 more answers
#OpenAI
#Sam Altman
#Greg Brockman
Who else will leave OpenAI in the next week (period ending Friday Nov 24th)?
Resolved
YES
No one
Resolved
NO
John Schulman
Resolved
NO
Adam D’Angelo
Resolved
NO
Ilya Sutskever
See 17 more answers
#Sam Altman
#AI
#OpenAI
Will any of Helen Toner, Tasha McCauley, Adam D'Angelo, or Ilya Sutskever be on OpenAI's board of directors on 1/1/2024?YES
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI
#AI Regulation
Will Ilya Sutskever leave open AI before 2024?NO
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
Will Ilya Sutskever continue at OpenAI til end 2024?51% chance
#AI
#OpenAI
#AI Safety
Will Ilya Sutskever continue at OpenAI til end 2023?YES
#OpenAI
#AI Safety
#AI
Will Sam Altman sign a formal agreement to return to OpenAI as described below before NYSE opens Monday?NO
#Greg Brockman
#Sam Altman
#sama1
Sam Altman will return to OpenAI by the end of Nov 2023YES
#Greg Brockman
#AI
#OpenAI
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?93% chance
#AI
#Technology
#AI Culture War
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before the end of 2030?YES
#AI
#AI Alignment
#AI Safety
Sam Altman moves to?
100%99.0%
Back to OpenAI
0.0%
Tesla
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%
DeepMind
See 8 more answers
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI Crisis
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI?YES
#OpenAI
#AI Safety
#AI