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Altman Return?

Mini
Will there be another significant change at OpenAI by Thanksgiving? (Altman, board, etc.)YES
Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?14% chance
Who will be the next permanent CEO of OpenAI?
100%99.0%
Sam Altman
0.1%
Mira Murati
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Adam D'angelo
See 50 more answers
Will Sam Altman return to being the CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2024?YES
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024?YES
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?90% chance
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI?YES
What will Sam Altman be doing on February 1, 2024?
100%99.0%
Back at OpenAI
0.4%
A new AI company he started
0.0%
Working at Anthropic
0.0%
A new non-AI company he started
See 13 more answers
What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!)
Resolved
YES
CEO of OpenAI
Resolved
NO
Start and lead another AI company
Resolved
NO
Run for president
Resolved
NO
Work primarily in AI VC
See 9 more answers
Who will still be working with OpenAI on January 31, 2024? [independent, YES/NO on each]
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman
Resolved
YES
Ilya Sutskever
Resolved
YES
Brad Lightcap
Resolved
YES
Adam D'Angelo
See 23 more answers
Who else will leave OpenAI in the next week (period ending Friday Nov 24th)?
Resolved
YES
No one
Resolved
NO
John Schulman
Resolved
NO
Adam D’Angelo
Resolved
NO
Ilya Sutskever
See 17 more answers
Mini
Will any of Helen Toner, Tasha McCauley, Adam D'Angelo, or Ilya Sutskever be on OpenAI's board of directors on 1/1/2024?YES
Mini
Will Ilya Sutskever leave open AI before 2024?NO
Will Ilya Sutskever continue at OpenAI til end 2024?NO
Will Ilya Sutskever continue at OpenAI til end 2023?YES
Will Sam Altman sign a formal agreement to return to OpenAI as described below before NYSE opens Monday?NO
Sam Altman will return to OpenAI by the end of Nov 2023YES
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?90% chance
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before the end of 2030?YES
Sam Altman moves to?
100%99.0%
Back to OpenAI
0.0%
Tesla
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%
DeepMind
See 8 more answers
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI?YES