Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before the end of 2030?
139
1K
1.4K
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
YES

This question resolves YES if Sam Altman returns to any part of the OpenAI organization as CEO, by December 31, 2030. It’ll resolve YES when there is a press release by OpenAI or official new documentation from the company that lists him as CEO.

RESOLVED YES per official company release:

https://openai.com/blog/sam-altman-returns-as-ceo-openai-has-a-new-initial-board

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ688
2Ṁ510
3Ṁ374
4Ṁ309
5Ṁ170
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 of NO

He hasn't returned has he? "We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam Altman to return to OpenAI as CEO with a new initial board of Bret Taylor (Chair), Larry Summers, and Adam D'Angelo."
Notice the "in principle". would like for the resolution to wait for an official announcement, there's no rush (other markets are at 95%)

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@ParthAgrawal A moderator can un-resolve this if you agree it was premature (I think it was - Sam isn't currently CEO and there isn't a formal agreement)

predicted NO

@ParthAgrawal notice the market's last trades, mostly "sold YES" because the market (plausibly) overreacted to the news

predicted NO

@TheBayesian Agreed, an agreement to do X is not the same as doing X.

@chrisjbillington Yes, I think these arguments are fair. Not sure how to prompt this but I'd like the market to be unresolved

predicted NO

@Joshua could you unresolve this market at the creator's request here?

predicted NO

@ParthAgrawal I think there's a button to do that? Should be visible on your UI. If not @SirSalty can take care of it.

predicted NO

@IsaacKing Ah that's right, creators can unresolve within ten minutes or something, I forgot about that (and have never looked for the option)

bought Ṁ1,649 of YES

@TheBayesian Various reliable media outlets’ headlines are not leaving any wiggle room for the deal to potentially collapse before it happens.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

This is so absurd that until it happens I can't give it over 70

sold Ṁ84 of NO

I created a more general version of this:

More related questions