Ernie
@Ernie
This is me, say hi. I was at Manifest 2023.
http://fuseki.net/ernie-profile.jpg
I'm interested in AI image generation, social change, systems, sports, cults, space, incentive systems, human institutions.
I bet at least 10m on any real-world market that's remotely interesting, and I try to make fun markets.
If I follow you I'll try to be at least 10m in any general interest market you create. My vision of manifold is that it's twitter. I try to create interesting questions which everyone can think about and discuss, then we bet, and it functions like an RSS tracker to centralize status updates. It can also work as a research mechanism or Lazyweb!
Also I made a video with some thoughts on LK-99: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WEiUL3Jah9c
I think LK-99's correct price is maybe 1.5-2.5%. so I'm still pushing it down.
On markets I run:
* I'm sorry if I miss your question/request for resolution. I try to answer everything, but things do get lost. Please re-ping me here or on discord and I'll get to you. Again, it's not your fault, sorry that I can't get answers to you ASAP.
* For questions about criteria, I try to make things fair. I mostly want you all to have a good time! I make a lot of markets, and sometimes am not clear enough, or mistakenly comment about how things will go. I'm trying to improve this, and please let me know if I miss things. I'll take your input gratefully and if worse comes to worse, try to come up with a remediation solution so all parties are okay.
Also, I am working on an external searching tool here: http://fuseki.net/manifold-dashboard/search.htm It's not done at all, but could be promising as an alternate way to search manifold! It's a fork of Isaac's, which is here https://outsidetheasylum.blog/manifold-search/ and definitely more updated.
Profit 1M
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