Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
Plus
656
Ṁ560kJan 1
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI at the end of the year 2024. If he leaves and then returns before the end of the year this will still resolve to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
possible arb: https://manifold.markets/SanghyeonSeo/will-the-openai-board-fire-sam-altm
Not exactly the same resolution criteria ofc.
predictedNO
If this market's taught me anything, it's that it's not over 'til it's over.
https://fxtwitter.com/openai/status/1727205556136579362
Return of the king
predictedNO
Why is this so high? Is there some news about him potentially returning as CEO?
(Edit: Sorry for spam. Manifold didn't register that I had posted the comment, so I tried it again twice and then suddenly all three showed up.)
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be a co-founder of a serious OpenAI competitor by EOY 2024?
1% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at mid 2028
40% chance
Will the OpenAI board fire Sam Altman again in 2024?
3% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
35% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
62% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
50% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1, 2025?
96% chance