Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
658
3.2kṀ600kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI at the end of the year 2024. If he leaves and then returns before the end of the year this will still resolve to YES.
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Made a continuation of this market for 2025:
possible arb: https://manifold.markets/SanghyeonSeo/will-the-openai-board-fire-sam-altm
Not exactly the same resolution criteria ofc.
predictedNO
If this market's taught me anything, it's that it's not over 'til it's over.
https://fxtwitter.com/openai/status/1727205556136579362
Return of the king
predictedNO
Why is this so high? Is there some news about him potentially returning as CEO?
(Edit: Sorry for spam. Manifold didn't register that I had posted the comment, so I tried it again twice and then suddenly all three showed up.)