possible arb: https://manifold.markets/SanghyeonSeo/will-the-openai-board-fire-sam-altm
Not exactly the same resolution criteria ofc.

Will we be discovering Sam Altman is using a special ungating AI tech for guiding the life and business decisions?

https://x.com/BobbyAllyn/status/1792679435701014908

Why isn't this >%95

@DanW end of 2024 is a long time!

This is end of 2024. He could rejoin but leave within a year

Kind of glad I was wrong

If this market's taught me anything, it's that it's not over 'til it's over.

https://fxtwitter.com/openai/status/1727205556136579362

Return of the king

I hope I am wrong

Hilarious graph

hodlers, this is when we make the real money B)

@BryceBowemd39 nvm

@BryceBowemd39 worked out well for us it seems

@JackGWhitaker (For now)

The hare is on the move.

@Undox sold my NO bags. I have no real feel for what the probability should be now.

Why is this so high? Is there some news about him potentially returning as CEO?

(Edit: Sorry for spam. Manifold didn't register that I had posted the comment, so I tried it again twice and then suddenly all three showed up.)

@PlasmaBallin yes. https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/18/23967199/breaking-openai-board-in-discussions-with-sam-altman-to-return-as-ceo for example

@PlasmaBallin for a few mana on NO bets I get to find out who the OpenAI insiders are.

Related market:

https://manifold.markets/AIC/by-what-date-if-ever-will-sam-altma?r=QUlD