What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!)
Sam Altman Transition from OpenAI•Altman Return?•Sam Altman•OpenAI Crisis
64
702
Ṁ3.3K
Jun 2
97%
CEO of OpenAI
31%
A non-CEO position at OpenAI
13%
Court
7%
Leads non-capabilities AI org (that is: org not training internal frontier models)
6%
Nothing
5%
Start and lead another AI company
5%
Work primarily in AI VC
4%
Join Google
4%
Join the Government
2%
Run for Governor
2%
Return to Y Combinator
2%
Run for president
2%
Work at Microsoft

Resolves to all answers that seem correct to me on June 1, 2024. Can resolve to multiple options.

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A non-CEO position at OpenAI
bought Ṁ30 A non-CEO position a... YES

Does being appointed to the board count? That's a position at OpenAI that is not CEO, even though he is still CEO.

Leads non-capabilities AI org (that is: org not training internal frontier models)

would a hardware ai-acceleration company count as non-capabilities AI org? in this hypothetical it would not be training internal frontier models, but pushing AI capabilities through hardware improvements alone (explicitely for AI)

bought Ṁ20 of CEO of OpenAI NO

https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/18/23967199/breaking-openai-board-in-discussions-with-sam-altman-to-return-as-ceo

My version which will just resolve to one top answer, and I moderate the submissions. https://manifold.markets/Ernie/what-will-sam-altman-be-doing-on-fe

Wow, we created them at the same time! good thinking

bought Ṁ30 of Nothing NO

@Ernie always nice driving some arbitrage incentives

Court

By this I mean he will be a defendant in a court case.

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