What will Sam Altman do by June 1, 2024? (Add answers!)
52
606
Ṁ12KṀ2.7K
2024
1D
1W
1M
ALL
98%
CEO of OpenAI
25%
Start and lead another AI company
24%
Leads non-capabilities AI org (that is: org not training internal frontier models)
15%
Work at Microsoft
15%
Court
11%
Nothing
11%
Work primarily in AI VC
9%
A non-CEO position at OpenAI
7%
Join Google
5%
Join the Government
5%
Return to Y Combinator
3%
Run for Governor
1.7%
Run for president
Resolves to all answers that seem correct to me on June 1, 2024. Can resolve to multiple options.
Feel free to add additional answers!
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would a hardware ai-acceleration company count as non-capabilities AI org? in this hypothetical it would not be training internal frontier models, but pushing AI capabilities through hardware improvements alone (explicitely for AI)
My version which will just resolve to one top answer, and I moderate the submissions. https://manifold.markets/Ernie/what-will-sam-altman-be-doing-on-fe
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