US '24

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Crystal
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100%98.8%
Donald Trump
0.2%
Joe Biden
0.0%
Ron DeSantis
0.0%
Nikki Haley
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Crystal
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?YES
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Crystal
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?NO
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Plus
If Trump becomes President, will he "Make America Great Again" by the midterms? [Gallup Polling > Obama]31% chance
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Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?NO
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Premium
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead?
100%98%
Not before Election Day
0.0%
Before February 1st
0.1%
February
0.1%
March
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Plus
What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100%99.0%
R by 65-104
0.0%
R by 215+
0.0%
R by 155-214
0.0%
R by 105-154
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Premium
Who will win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
100%99.1%
Kamala Harris
0.2%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Gavin Newsom
0.4%
A Candidate Not Listed Here
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Basic
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
96%
"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"
82%
"lower taxes"
64%
empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs
63%
"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"
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Plus
How many Senate seats will Republicans control after the 2024 elections?
100%99.0%
53
0.1%
48 or fewer
0.1%
49
0.2%
50
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NBC News
Colorado Supreme Court kicks Trump off the state's 2024 primary ballot for violating the U.S. Constitution
In a bombshell decision, Colorado's Supreme Court on Tuesday ruled that former President Donald Trump's candidacy in the state's primary next year is prohibited on constitutional grounds.
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Plus
Will SCOTUS reverse the Colorado Supreme Court's decision to bar Trump from the ballot?YES
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Will Nikki Haley drop out before the South Carolina primary?NO
P Prize Market
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Premium
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
100%99.0%
J.D. Vance (Ohio Senator)
0.0%
Mike Pence
0.0%
Kari Lake (Senate Candidate in Arizona)
0.0%
Ron DeSantis (Florida Governor)
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Premium
Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? [Top 6 candidates, new market style]
100%99.0%
Donald Trump
0.1%
Ron DeSantis
0.0%
Tim Scott
0.4%
Nikki Haley
See 3 more answers
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Plus
Will the Supreme Court make any decision on the Trump Colorado ballot before March 2024?NO
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Who will still be in the Republican primary on Super Tuesday (March 5, 2024)?
Resolved
YES
Donald Trump
Resolved
YES
Nikki Haley
Resolved
NO
Ron DeSantis
Resolved
NO
Vivek Ramaswamy
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Plus
Will the independent run of RFK Jr hurt Democrats more than Republicans?N/A
the Guardian
Democratic congressman Dean Phillips launches primary challenge against Biden
Decision by little known Minnesota representative has led to criticism from many of his colleagues
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Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?NO
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Will RFK Jr. end up running as an Independent in 2024?YES
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