Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
💎
Premium
2k
Ṁ6.4m
resolved Jul 15
100%99.0%
J.D. Vance (Ohio Senator)
0.0%
Mike Pence
0.0%
Kari Lake (Senate Candidate in Arizona)
0.0%
Ron DeSantis (Florida Governor)
0.0%
Nikki Haley (Former SC Governor)
0.2%
Tim Scott (SC Senator )
0.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (Entrepreneur)
0.1%
Elise Stefanik (NY Congresswoman)
0.0%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (AR Governor)
0.0%
[Invalid Answer]
0.0%
Joni Ernst
0.0%
Francis Suarez (Miami Mayor)
0.0%
Katie Britt (Alabama Senator)
0.0%
Brian Kemp
0.0%
Kristi Noem (SD Governor)
0.0%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
0.0%
Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)
0.0%
Kim Reynolds
0.0%
Tulsi Gabbard (Former HI Congresswoman)
0.0%
[Invalid Answer]

Resolves to the person chosen for VICE PRESIDENT by the RNC, if listed here when chosen. If the answer is unambiguously duplicated, resolves to the version added first. Otherwise OTHER.

This is currently set to close at the expected end of the Republican National Convention in 2024. May adjust if needed.

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As a reminder, this resolves when the ticket is confirmed by the RNC, not necessarily when Trump announces.

Yo

I feel bad for Burgum and #Burgumbros right now. Would probably have been better to go with him.

@ManifoldPolitics maybe worth opening a new Vice-President market?

https://x.com/acnewsitics/status/1815612959835783289

Vance was a terrible pick

@jBosc use this

what a year this is turning out to be

ping me if that stays steady around 25% and manifoldpolitics doesn't make a new one and I'll do it

will do 🫡

I just created this market

thank you jack 🙏🏼

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-chose-jd-vance-running-mate-vp-pick-rcna161982?utm_source=meio&utm_medium=email
It seems we fucked up big time. Trump wanted Doug Burgum as recently as last week. Senator Vance learned about his appointment 20 minutes before the announcement. 70% in the run-up was way way too high, but we pulled it off.

Craziest part of this market was @MarsMartian showing up in May and betting Vance up above 50% over and over again. Turns out he was right! Took me a while to sell all the no shares I bought from him but glad I finally did.

All their trades are on VP markets. They knew. Might be buddies with Barron or Jared. Probably an insider at any rate.

I would bet against you on that.

I just want to point out that already in September! I boughtṀ30 of Other, indirectly buying shares in Vance!

Trump's nomination is now official, making this only require acclamation. It's not clear if that's happened yet but there's no point in holding all your mana further

thanks for running this market pat! quite the wild ride

"I go back and forth between thinking Trump is a cynical asshole like Nixon who wouldn't be that bad (and might even prove useful) or that he's America's Hitler," he wrote privately to an associate on Facebook in 2016.

lol

Time to close it out. It's Vance.

bought Ṁ50 J.D. Vance (Ohio Sen... YES

free mana!

bought Ṁ50 J.D. Vance (Ohio Sen... YES

Truth Social:

After lengthy deliberation and thought, and considering the tremendous talents of many others, I have decided that the person best suited to assume the position of Vice President of the United States is Senator J.D. Vance of the Great State of Ohio. J.D. honorably served our Country in the Marine Corps, graduated from Ohio State University in two years, Summa Cum Laude, and is a Yale Law School Graduate, where he was Editor of The Yale Law Journal, and President of the Yale Law Veterans Association. J.D.’s book, “Hillbilly Elegy,” became a Major Best Seller and Movie, as it championed the hardworking men and women of our Country. J.D. has had a very successful business career in Technology and Finance, and now, during the Campaign, will be strongly focused on the people he fought so brilliantly for, the American Workers and Farmers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Minnesota, and far beyond….

Lol it literally did not do that, the main premise of hillbilly elegy was that all the people he grew up around are lazy.

Calling everyone else lazy is how pull-up-by-bootstraps -people champion each other

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