Legal WeedIsrael-Arab ConflictOpenAI - GPT2Columbia ProtestsTrump Held In ContemptTrump VPNBA PlayoffsBiden-Trump PollsPresidential DebatesTwitterManifold SweepstakesTikTok BanTaylor SwiftHouse SpeakerJason StonksKey RacesFSK BridgeOne PieceMusic AI RaceChessManifestTV PropsWWDC 2024ACX 2024 Hard Forkasts

Yglesias 2024

My 2024 predictions
Grading my 2023 predictions and looking ahead to the new year
trending
Will Manifold outperform Matthew Yglesias?90% chance
#Manifold Users
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#Manifold
trending
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?48% chance
#US Politics
#Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election
trending
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?79% chance
#2024 US Election
#US Congressional Elections 2024
#US Politics
trending
Will Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?38% chance
#US Politics
#Politics
#2024 US Election
trending
Matt Yglesias 2024 predictions: Will Democrats lose at least one senate seat outside of WV/MT/OH?55% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Kelly Ayotte elected governor of New Hampshire39% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#US Politics
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Josh Stein elected governor of North Carolina65% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#US Politics
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Biden change in Biden’s cabinet33% chance
#US Politics
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
trending
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?97% chance
#MAGA-land
#2024 US Presidential Election
#2024 GOP Primaries
trending
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?95% chance
#US Politics
#Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Supreme Court vacancy83% chance
#US Politics
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Immigration/border/asylum legislation passes31% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#US Politics
trending
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?21% chance
#Economics
#Politics
#US Politics
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Pro-GOP electoral college bias diminishes from its 2020 level86% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#US Politics
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Net electoral college bias continues to favor the GOP82% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#US Politics
trending
Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?77% chance
#US Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election
#Politics
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points62% chance
#Economics
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#Federal reserve
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least 75 basis points30% chance
#Federal reserve
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#Economics
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed does not cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points92% chance
#Economics
#Federal reserve
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
trending
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation below 3%74% chance
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
#Economics
See more questions: