Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points
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31
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2025
35%
chance

https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.

Matt predicts 90% for this question

Matt's calibration for reference:

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bought Ṁ100 NO

The Fed is now forecasting a single rate cut this year: https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/06/12/economy/june-fed-decision

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