Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points
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Plus
47
Ṁ34k
resolved Sep 19
Resolved
YES

https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.

Matt predicts 90% for this question

Matt's calibration for reference:

#Economics
#Federal reserve
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
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bought Ṁ6,000 YES

Resolves to YES

Arb https://manifold.markets/barak/by-how-much-will-the-fed-cut-intere?r=TG9nYW5Pd2Vucw

bought Ṁ100 NO

The Fed is now forecasting a single rate cut this year: https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/06/12/economy/june-fed-decision

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