Will Manifold outperform Matthew Yglesias?
44
1kṀ1373
Jan 1
80%
chance

On 01/14/24, I will note the percentage of all markets under the Matthew Yglesias dashboard.

At the end of the year, I will calculate brier scores for Manifold's predictions and compare to those of Yglesias's predictions. Iff Manifold has a better score, this resolves YES.

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