Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Biden change in Biden’s cabinet
30
1kṀ4401resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 80% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ526 | |
| 2 | Ṁ137 | |
| 3 | Ṁ100 | |
| 4 | Ṁ89 | |
| 5 | Ṁ85 |
Sort by:
@DavidFWatson No, I believe it means that if there will be a change, it will not be done by Biden. So someone can resign but not get fired.