Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Biden change in Biden’s cabinet
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https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 80% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@DavidFWatson No, I believe it means that if there will be a change, it will not be done by Biden. So someone can resign but not get fired.
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