Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?
Plus
20
Ṁ9550resolved Nov 7
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will winner of National popular vote also win majority of Electoral College?
64% chance
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
Will the candidate who wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election become president?
99% chance
[Metaculus] Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?
98% chance
Will there be a split between the popular vote and the electoral college in 2024?
2% chance
Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
91% chance