Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Kelly Ayotte elected governor of New Hampshire
Plus
20
Ṁ2707resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 60% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
AP has called the race for Ayotte https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/kelly-ayotte-win-new-hampshire-governor-election-rcna173890
Related questions
Related questions
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Immigration/border/asylum legislation passes
23% chance
Will Kelly Ayotte be elected governor of New Hampshire this year?
99% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Supreme Court vacancy
86% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Net electoral college bias continues to favor the GOP
85% chance
Will @MatthewYglesias's 2024 predictions perform at least as well as his 2023 predictions by his own assessment?
32% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)
80% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Pro-GOP electoral college bias diminishes from its 2020 level
96% chance
Matt Yglesias 2024 predictions: Will Democrats lose at least one senate seat outside of WV/MT/OH?
98% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Unemployment rate stays above 3%
97% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Biden change in Biden’s cabinet
94% chance