Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
35%
chance
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Gabriellesold Ṁ122 of YES
The midterm results are looking bad for Trump - DeSantis won his race by a wide margin and a lot of “Trump-y” candidates across the nation did poorly. (Which, to be clear, is not necessarily a shift towards being moderate, just a shift away from being associated with Trump.)
YES shares
12,003
2,350
2,036
692
526
381
380
336
245
209
162
161
NO shares
17,946
2,723
1,450
435
374
239
158
150
148
147
143
136
122
