MANIFOLD
Browse
US Election
News
About
App
Add funds
(Sale 64% off)
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
Popular Vote
Swing States
Harris
Trump
Israel
OpenAI
US Congress
AGI Timelines
Biden
Bitcoin
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Tim Walz
Sama Drama
JD Vance
AI Math
Fed Rates
Nvidia
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts
Super Tuesday Republican Results
Lion
Andrew G
Plus
Which nominating contests will Donald Trump lose in the 2024 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses?
Resolved
NO
Iowa
Open options
Resolved
NO
New Hampshire
Open options
Resolved
NO
Nevada
Open options
Resolved
NO
Virgin Islands
Open options
See 52 more answers
85
Ṁ9720
Jack
Plus
Which Super Tuesday state will Trump have the lowest margin of victory vs Haley?
100%
97%
Vermont
Open options
0.1%
Virginia
Open options
0.4%
Massachusetts
Open options
2%
Utah
Open options
See 3 more answers
43
Ṁ1690
Sketchy
Plus
Super Tuesday: Which state will Donald Trump do best in?
100%
94%
Alaska
Open options
3%
Alabama
Open options
0.3%
Arkansas
Open options
0.1%
California
Open options
See 11 more answers
38
Ṁ2190
Lion
Plus
[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary will Nikki Haley receive the highest percentage of votes on Super Tuesday?
100%
99.1%
Vermont
Open options
0.0%
Alabama
Open options
0.0%
Alaska
Open options
0.0%
Arkansas
Open options
See 10 more answers
53
Ṁ2620
Sketchy
Plus
Super Tuesday: Will Donald Trump come within 10% of losing any state?
YES
75
Ṁ1205
Genzy
Plus
Will Trump be right, and win every Super Tuesday state by more than 42 points?
NO
62
Ṁ1810
Plasma Ballin'
Basic
Will Nikki Haley get a higher vote share in the Utah caucus than any primary on Super Tuesday?
NO
6
Ṁ180
Mick Bransfield
Plus
Will Trump sweep Super Tuesday?
NO
90
Ṁ1165
Laurence
Basic
Will Donald Trump lose at least one state by the end of Super Tuesday in the 2024 Republican primary?
YES
62
Ṁ985
Sketchy
Basic
Super Tuesday: Will Donald Trump come within 20% of losing in any state?
YES
24
Ṁ537
Plasma Ballin'
Basic
Will Trump receive more than 50% of the votes in every primary or caucus on Super Tuesday?
NO
9
Ṁ240
Mark Hamill
Plus
Which of the following Virginia counties will Nikki Haley win in the March 5 Republican primary? (Multiple choice)
Resolved
YES
Alexandria City
Open options
Resolved
YES
Arlington
Open options
Resolved
YES
Fairfax
Open options
Resolved
YES
Williamsburg
Open options
See 6 more answers
19
Ṁ1150
Lion
Basic
[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary will Donald Trump receive the highest percentage of votes on Super Tuesday?
100%
99.9%
Alaska
Open options
0.0%
Alabama
Open options
0.0%
Arkansas
Open options
0.0%
California
Open options
See 10 more answers
19
Ṁ1320
Lion
Plus
[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary/caucus will Donald Trump receive more than 65.00% of votes on Super Tuesday?
Resolved
YES
Alabama
Open options
Resolved
YES
Alaska
Open options
Resolved
YES
Arkansas
Open options
Resolved
YES
California
Open options
See 11 more answers
37
Ṁ3630
Mark Hamill
Plus
Which of the following California counties will Nikki Haley win in the March 5 Republican primary? (Multiple choice)
Resolved
NO
San Francisco
Open options
Resolved
NO
Alameda
Open options
Resolved
NO
San Mateo
Open options
Resolved
NO
Santa Clara
Open options
See 7 more answers
58
Ṁ3230
Magnus
Basic
Will Haley win any Republican counties on Super Tuesday?
YES
46
Ṁ960
Matt
Basic
Will Ron DeSantis get the third highest number of votes in every Super Tuesday primary?
NO
37
Ṁ800
Mark Hamill
Basic
How many votes will Ron Desantis get in Super Tuesday contests?
100%
97%
100,000-199,999
Open options
0.1%
99,999 or fewer
Open options
1.9%
200,000-299,999
Open options
0.3%
300,000-399,999
Open options
See 2 more answers
11
Ṁ470
Semiotic Rivalry
Basic
Will Trump win the Utah Caucus by double digits?
YES
42
Ṁ860
Semiotic Rivalry
Plus
Will Trump win the Vermont Primary by double digits?
NO
63
Ṁ1135
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
+
Mana-only Terms
•
Privacy
•
Rules
Browse
Election
News
About
Sign in
