Will Donald Trump lose at least one state by the end of Super Tuesday in the 2024 Republican primary?
Mini
62
22k
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
YES

This question resolves to YES if another candidate receives a larger share of the statewide popular vote in any contest through March 5, 2024.

——————

Bettors are encouraged to vote on my other market:

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ989
2Ṁ654
3Ṁ553
4Ṁ241
5Ṁ146
Sort by:

This can resolve as YES for sure now - it's been officially called that Haley just won Vermont.

Nuts. Account has been deleted, how this resolves will be up to mods.

@Marnix Yeah, it's a weird case. I'd personally lean towards N/A since the market creator didn't specify if DC counted, but a strict textualist reading of the question would exclude DC.

I'm not American but even I know DC isn't a state. Therefore it should be obvious that DC doesn't count.

In my view.

More related questions