Please read before betting

Resolves YES if Nikki Haley wins any county won by Trump in 2020 in any state’s March 5 primary.

Details:

• This market applies to any state holding a caucus or primary for the Republican presidential nomination on March 5.

• A county “won by Haley” is one that casts a plurality or majority of its votes for Nikki Haley.

• A county “won by Trump” is one that casted a plurality or majority of its votes for Donald Trump in the 2020 general election (NOT the 2020 primaries).

• Resolves NO if Nikki Haley does not win any counties on March 5.

• Resolves NO if Nikki Haley wins some number of counties on March 5, but none of them were won by Trump in 2020’s general election.

• The market will remain active if Nikki Haley drops out prior to all polls closing on March 5.

• For the purposes of this market, county-equivalents including independent Virginia cities and Alaskan boroughs qualify as “counties”. Extra important: The Unorganized Borough counts as one county, not the census areas within it! The unorganized Borough went Democratic in 2020.

• Massachusetts is automatically excepted from this market because Trump did not win any of its counties in 2020. (sorry Massachusetts)

Beware: towns in Vermont, Massachusetts, etc. are NOT counties, only parts of counties!