
Which state will Haley get the closest to Trump, or if she wins, which state will she win by the most margin?
Resolves to the state that has the lowest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump vs Nikki Haley in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican primaries and caucuses.
Margin of victory is defined as Trump's vote percentage minus Haley's vote percentage. (Note that this may be negative if Haley defeats Trump, in which case it resolves to the lowest i.e. most negative state, i.e. the state in which Trump loses by the most.)
The question will resolve based on results from AP News, WSJ, and NYT if the answer is clear. If it remains unclear because the results are too close or contested, the final resolution source will be official announcement of primary results from the relevant authorities.
The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia. (American Samoa is excluded as it is not a state.)
(This market includes a partial list of states that are most in contention to start, but I can add more upon request. No matter what, the question resolves to the answer as defined above, it will be added if needed - you can bet on the Other option for that.)
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ506 | |
2 | Ṁ293 | |
3 | Ṁ246 | |
4 | Ṁ199 | |
5 | Ṁ98 |