[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary/caucus will Donald Trump receive more than 65.00% of votes on Super Tuesday?
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62k
resolved Mar 16
Resolved
YES
California
Resolved
YES
Oklahoma
Resolved
YES
Tennessee
Resolved
YES
Arkansas
Resolved
YES
Maine
Resolved
YES
North Carolina
Resolved
YES
Texas
Resolved
YES
Alabama
Resolved
YES
Minnesota
Resolved
YES
Alaska
Resolved
NO
Virginia
Resolved
NO
Utah
Resolved
NO
Colorado
Resolved
NO
Massachusetts
Resolved
NO
Vermont

The relevant states' primaries are Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia.

The relevant state's caucus is Utah.

The relevant criterion is the GOP state primary/cacucus with the percentage of votes for Donald Trump above 65.00%. I will resolve this market on results from at least two sources, most likely using AP News, WSJ, and NYT. If there are any concerns or if the results are close, I will attempt to verify on local authorities' information. If needed, I'd calculate up to the 100. digit. If it landed exactly on 65.000...00% in any state, I'd resolve the state 50:50.

I reserve the right to extend the closing date if necessary.

If you have any questions or if any scenarios are unclear, please ask beforehand. Otherwise, I will use my best judgment to resolve this question.

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I'll resolve this market as I go along.

Thanks to everyone for trading. ❤

proof based on:

https://www.wsj.com/election/2024/primary

https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/super-tuesday/

@Lion I think that's it for now, the other ones are uncertain. [Feel free to tag me if I can resolve other states as well.]

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