Finally Haley wins something! History made: Haley is the first woman to ever win a Republican presidential primary.

This has basically turned into an interest rates market

Apparently the early primary calendar is more stretched out than usual, potentially leading to some interesting dynamics!

This should go Iowa, Utah, Georgia, then in reverse chronological order (assuming Trump is much less likely to win primaries if he's jailed or convicted midway). None should be above 40.

This must have been an expensive market to create

@cc6 M1400!

Well we've got some naive base rates set, interested to see where these all end up!