[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary will Donald Trump receive the highest percentage of votes on Super Tuesday?
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19
28k
resolved Mar 13
100%99.9%
Alaska
0.0%
Alabama
0.0%
Arkansas
0.0%
California
0.0%
Colorado
0.0%
Maine
0.0%
Massachusetts
0.0%
Minnesota
0.0%
North Carolina
0.0%
Oklahoma
0.0%
Tennessee
0.0%
Texas
0.0%
Vermont
0.0%
Virginia

The relevant states' primaries are Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia.

Utah holds a caucus and is therefore excluded.

The relevant criterion is the GOP state primary with the highest percentage of votes for Donald Trump. I will resolve this market on results from at least two sources, most likely using AP News, WSJ, and NYT. If there are any concerns or if the results are close, I will attempt to verify with local authorities.

I reserve the right to extend the closing date if necessary.

If you have any questions or if any scenarios are unclear, please ask beforehand. Otherwise, I will use my best judgment to resolve this question.

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@traders California has counted 85% of the votes. Consequently, I can now resolve to Alaska, as it is impossible for Trump to surpass his percentage there.

I used NYT and AP-News to varify. Links are down below.

How did Trump end up winning so big in Alaska? I guess it has something to do with it being a caucus?

@PlasmaBallin alaska has a very high % of independents- so the people who register republican are really republican

@SemioticRivalry Oh, that makes a lot of sense. I was confused about how it was possible that a state that isn't nearly as solid red as, e.g., Alabama and that elected an anti-Trump Republican over the Trump-backed challenger in 2022 could possibly have such a ridiculously strong showing for Trump here. But the high number of independents would explain those results without preventing that type of showing.

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