Will Trump win the Vermont Primary by double digits?
63
แน€36k
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
NO

i.e. >10.00%.

Get แน€600 play money

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bought แน€20,000 NO

@SemioticRivalry Well done! Care to reveal why you bet on Haley?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 a lot of reasons, but the main one being that haley did very well in nh and VT is a super similar state but with a much more friendly crossover environment (30 points bluer)

@SemioticRivalry woah - nice outcome for you here ๐Ÿ™Œ

@SemioticRivalry a fine day for political nerds ๐Ÿงก

@SemioticRivalry ๐Ÿ‘‘

Looking into whether I should be betting with or against market creator @SemioticRivalry - I'm not seeing any new polls or news, got any info you'd like to share?

@JamesBakerc884 All I see is that Haley is campaigning in Vermont: https://www.wamc.org/news/2024-03-04/nikki-haley-holds-campaign-rally-in-vermont-in-advance-of-the-states-presidential-primary

@SemioticRivalry has made a number of similar bets across several markets, so maybe he knows something more that we don't.

@JamesBakerc884 I guess the moral of this story is, don't bet against @SemioticRivalry. ๐Ÿ˜‚

@TimothyJohnson5c16 sometimes we have to learn the best lessons the hard way ๐Ÿ™ƒ