The relevant states' primaries are Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia.

Utah holds a caucus and is therefore excluded.

The relevant criterion is the GOP state primary with the highest percentage of votes for Nikki Haley. I will resolve this market on results from at least two sources, most likely using AP News, WSJ, and NYT. If there are any concerns or if the results are close, I will attempt to verify with local authorities.

If Haley drops out before Super Tuesday, this question will be marked as 'N/A'.

I reserve the right to extend the closing date if necessary.

If you have any questions or if any scenarios are unclear, please ask beforehand. Otherwise, I will use my best judgment to resolve this question.