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OpenAI
Israel Ceasefire
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Life in 2030
Zander
RemNi
Plus
Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
68%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
28
Ṁ1000
Matthew Barnett
Premium
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
65%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
563
Ṁ13k
Tobias Sowaaed
Plus
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
66%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
433
Ṁ3110
Mqrius
Plus
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
75%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
228
Ṁ2195
Matthew Barnett
Plus
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
80%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
273
Ṁ2445
Isaac King
Plus
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
82%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
129
Ṁ2065
Zander
Basic
By 2030, how many US States will have ever had a nonmale governor?
36
Lower
Higher
6
Ṁ180
Forrest
Plus
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
96%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
104
Ṁ1990
M.H.
Premium
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
48%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
132
Ṁ12k
Levi Bankman Finkelstein
Plus
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030? ️
34%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
101
Ṁ1510
Daniel Reeves
Plus
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
79%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
106
Ṁ2253
Gabe Garboden
Plus
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
74%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
181
Ṁ1125
Josh Wilkes
Plus
By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?
69%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
156
Ṁ1485
James Bills
Plus
Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
43%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
84
Ṁ1400
Jascha
Plus
Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030?
73%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
98
Ṁ1115
Ilya X Valmianski
Plus
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
42%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
76
Ṁ1385
Ivan Zagrebin
Plus
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
56%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
97
Ṁ1155
TX ⚜️
Plus
Will there be a country with Universal Basic Income by 2030?
43%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
89
Ṁ1635
Pat Scott🩴
Plus
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
47%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
103
Ṁ1155
Joe C
Plus
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
46%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
87
Ṁ1220
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