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Israel Ceasefire
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Life in 2030
Zander
RemNi
1k
Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
65%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
30
Ṁ1000
Matthew Barnett
13k
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
52%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
599
Ṁ13k
Tobias Sowaaed
3.1k
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
72%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
441
Ṁ3110
Mqrius
2.2k
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
60%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
232
Ṁ2195
Matthew Barnett
2.4k
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
71%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
275
Ṁ2445
Isaac King
2.1k
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
130
Ṁ2065
Zander
180
By 2030, how many US States will have ever had a nonmale governor?
36
Lower
Higher
6
Ṁ180
Forrest
2k
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
96%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
104
Ṁ1990
M.H.
12k
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
50%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
133
Ṁ12k
Levi Bankman Finkelstein
1.5k
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030?
34%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
101
Ṁ1510
Daniel Reeves
2.3k
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
83%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
113
Ṁ2253
Gabe Garboden
1.1k
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
183
Ṁ1125
Josh Wilkes
1.5k
By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?
74%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
180
Ṁ1485
James Bills
1.4k
Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
45%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
85
Ṁ1400
Jascha
1.1k
Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030?
79%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
98
Ṁ1115
Ilya X Valmianski
1.4k
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
29%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
78
Ṁ1385
Ivan Zagrebin
1.2k
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
42%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
113
Ṁ1155
TX ⚜️
1.6k
Will there be a country with Universal Basic Income by 2030?
43%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
90
Ṁ1635
Pat Scott🩴
1.2k
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
59%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
106
Ṁ1155
Joe C
1.2k
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
45%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
93
Ṁ1220
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