Life in 2030

Ṁ1k
Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
56% chance
Ṁ13k
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
53% chance
Ṁ3.1k
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
49% chance
Ṁ2.2k
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
50% chance
Ṁ2.4k
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
78% chance
Ṁ2.1k
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
77% chance
Ṁ180
By 2030, how many US States will have ever had a nonmale governor?
36
Ṁ2k
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
96% chance
Ṁ12k
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
43% chance
Ṁ1.5k
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030?
34% chance
Ṁ2.3k
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
80% chance
Ṁ1.1k
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
68% chance
Ṁ1.5k
By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?
75% chance
Ṁ1.4k
Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
37% chance
Ṁ1.1k
Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030?
70% chance
Ṁ1.4k
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
35% chance
Ṁ1.2k
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
40% chance
Ṁ1.2k
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
57% chance
Ṁ1.2k
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
31% chance
Ṁ215
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
68% chance
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