Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
69
closes 2030
54%
chance

Will there be protests involving groups of at least 1000 participants calling for granting some kind of rights to any kind of existing AI system. The protest has to occur before 2030. Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

Clarification: only majority serious/non-ironic protests count. At least 1000 protestors must seriously/non-ironically participate. I will decide based on reports of the news media whether participants are ironic or serious (eg if majority of media call it serious then it is "majority serious")

Clarification 2: Only human participants count, protest has to be in-person and occur in a physical place (eg cannot be in meta verse, over video-conferencing, etc). If protest has both in-person and virtual participants, only in-person participants are counted and only in one physical location (the location with most serious participants).

Clarification 3: I will use my discretion to define what is a single location, but essentially will follow common definitions as used in media reports (eg people congregating in some park/street/combination of nearby places/etc)

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MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallpredicts YES

Participants can be non-human?

1 reply
IlyaXValmianski avatar
Ilya X Valmianski

@MartinRandall Only human participants count, protest has to be in-person and occur in a physical place.

qumeric avatar
Valery Cherepanovbought Ṁ100 of YES

Just add voice and video to GPT-4 (32k) and it will be enough.

YoavTzfati avatar
Yoav Tzfatibought Ṁ50 of NO

@IlyaXValmianski does it count if the protest is ironic, or if there are clearly less than 1000 non-ironic protestors but more than 1000 total?

2 replies
IlyaXValmianski avatar
Ilya X Valmianski

@YoavTzfati Non-ironic/serious protest. I expect majority participants to be serious and the serious protestors need to count of more than 1000 people.

IlyaXValmianski avatar
Ilya X Valmianski

@YoavTzfati I added clarification to the description.