Israel-Gaza Conflict

Israel-Hamas Ceasefire:

100%99.2%
longer than 45 days
0.2%
0-14 days
0.1%
15-30 days
0.6%
31-45 days
100%97%
30-59
1.1%
0-29
0.3%
60-89
2%
90+

International Court of Justice Case:

Death Toll:

100%82%
32,001 - 64,000
0.1%
<= 4,000
0.1%
4,001 - 8,000
0.3%
8,001 - 16,000
100%4%
10000 - 15000
0.3%
1000 - 2000
0.9%
2000 - 5000
2%
5000 - 10000
0%
0-500
0.1%
500-1000
1.2%
1000-1500
85%
1500-2500
100%72%
>40
0.3%
<1
0.4%
1-2
0.4%
2-3

The End of the War:

100%99.0%
2025 or later
0.0%
October 2023
0.0%
November 2023
0.1%
December 2023
28%
Hamas
27%
Israel
25%
Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised
7%
International Peacekeeping Force
4%
Hamas, status quo
25%
Hamas, with significantly reduced control (including significant loss of territory)
0.2%
Hamas, significantly increased control (no blockade, anything up to independence)
33%
Israel, occupation
81%
Taking territory from Gaza to create a buffer zone on the border
74%
Taking control of the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt
72%
Conducting regular raids in Gaza (similar to the West Bank)
72%
Stationing a permanent Israeli military presence in Gaza
30%
"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)
0.4%
"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)
5%
"Inconclusive"
10%
Kill some Hamas leaders, then get out
9%
Install a puppet government
61%
Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank
1%
Get bogged down in a stalemate

Hamas After the War:

Hezbollah Involvement:

Houthi Involvement:

US-Israel Relations:

Foreign Relations with Israel:

Israeli Government:

Hostages in Gaza:

Palestinian Displacement:

Hamas Leadership:

The Iron Beam:

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