Israel-Gaza Conflict
Israel-Hamas Ceasefire:
25%
0-14 days
9%
15-30 days
30%
31-45 days
36%
longer than 45 days
International Court of Justice Case:
Death Toll:
The End of the War:
51%
2025 or later
21%
October - December 2024
14%
July - September 2024
11%
April - June 2024
4%
Hamas, status quo
24%
Hamas, with significantly reduced control (including significant loss of territory)
0.4%
Hamas, significantly increased control (no blockade, anything up to independence)
51%
Israel, occupation
78%
Taking territory from Gaza to create a buffer zone on the border
78%
Stationing a permanent Israeli military presence in Gaza
74%
Taking control of the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt
69%
Conducting regular raids in Gaza (similar to the West Bank)
41%
"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)
0.5%
"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)
17%
"Inconclusive"
1%
"______ treaty" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War
7%
Kill some Hamas leaders, then get out
18%
Install a puppet government
47%
Permanently occupy Gaza like theyโre occupying the West Bank
3%
Get bogged down in a stalemate