In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict
41
Ṁ1kṀ2kresolved Jan 20
ResolvedN/A
36%
"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)
0.4%
"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)
7%
"Inconclusive"
0.8%
"______ treaty" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War
23%
A wall of text ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War
0.6%
"Uprising suppressed" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Intifada
32%Other
Resolves based on the wording of the "Result" field in the infobox on the wiki page for the war, i.e.: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_2023_Gaza%E2%88%92Israel_conflict
Or whatever it redirects to in 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?
40% chance
Will Israel and Hamas announce a new Gaza ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
11% chance
By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
By when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?
By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"?
Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
68% chance
Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?
55% chance
What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?
Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026
9% chance
If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
25% chance
Sort by:
What if it says “Israeli military victory”, as in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_War_(2008%E2%80%932009)
@marvingardens Resolved clearly against your own explicit and explicitly-explicit rules, and in your favor as a trader.
People are also trading
Related questions
Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?
40% chance
Will Israel and Hamas announce a new Gaza ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
11% chance
By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
By when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?
By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"?
Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
68% chance
Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?
55% chance
What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?
Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026
9% chance
If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
25% chance