In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict
41
Ṁ1kṀ2k
resolved Jan 20
ResolvedN/A
36%
"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)
0.4%
"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)
7%
"Inconclusive"
0.6%
32%Other

Resolves based on the wording of the "Result" field in the infobox on the wiki page for the war, i.e.: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_2023_Gaza%E2%88%92Israel_conflict
Or whatever it redirects to in 2026.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

What if it says “Israeli military victory”, as in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_War_(2008%E2%80%932009)

@PeanutCookieFantaCheesyPa That counts as Israeli victory

No “Result” field is N/A implicitly. Making it explicit.

@JonathanRay There is no "result" field, and so this appears misresolved.

@marvingardens Resolved clearly against your own explicit and explicitly-explicit rules, and in your favor as a trader.

@marvingardens whoops! can an admin N/A this please? @chrisjbillington

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy