@mods Resolves NO.

Based on the clarification in the comments, this requires a ceasefire that lasts multiple months before the end of 2024, so that's not longer possible.

Worth mentioning that this market can resolve No as early as October 1st given the clarification that the three month period has to end by 2024.

@grofigaszadosijv can you confirm just in case?

@jBosc So I guess this resolves NO now?

@grofigaszadosijv resolves NO?

"multiple month (minimum 3) ceasefire happens before the end of 2024"

What if this begins on December and only becomes multi-month by February?

@ShoaibM it has to be by 2024 so If it starts in december it would still resolve as no

Define ceasefire. Likeliest outcome seems to be Hamas dismantled and a new governing body installed (with which Israel is not officially at war, but with Israel never making a formal ceasefire with Hamas), but still occasional bursts of terrorism or counterterrorism operations. Not sure how you'd count that.

@ShakedKoplewitz I would count it as an official announcement by the Israeli government (or another government that's involved in the war) that says they are ending the war/doing a ceasefire.

Suggest editing title to "by EoY 2024", or "by 2025" to avoid confusion