Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
20
102
Ṁ1.2KṀ390
2026
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based off the outcomes of two other markets:
If either of these resolve YES, and the latter resolves YES, this resolves YES. If the first resolves YES and the second resolves NO, this resolves NO. If both resolve NO, this resolves N/A. If either of the linked markets resolves to something other than YES or NO, I will use my best judgement.
Apr 29, 9:01pm: Conditional on AI getting at least Bronze on the IMO, will it get Gold by 2025? → Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
70% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
37% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
40% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
32% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
68% chance
Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2025?
59% chance
Will any AI be able to formalize >=90% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?
32% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by 2026?
40% chance